FLIPR 2026 House forecast

Models & Forecasts

FLIPR 2026 House forecast

Silver Bulletin's prediction for every House election in 2026.

Nate Silver

and

Eli McKown-Dawson

Nov 03, 2026

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📈 Our latest House forecast

Updated November 3, 2026

ELSEWHERE IN FLIPR:

Topline forecast —>

Senate forecast —>

Governors forecast —>

Paid subscribers

get full access to our Election Night livestream with The Argument, GD Politics, and Slow Boring.

This is the landing page the FLIPR

1

2026 House forecast.

2

This page is designed to be

viewed on the web

rather than in our email client or in the Substack app.

The House polls

The Silver Bulletin polling averages are the

first step in FLIPR

, so we reproduce them on every page. We draw most of the election polls used in our model from

The New York Times poll database

3

, but collect

generic ballot

and congressional approval polls ourselves.

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The House forecast

Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 House race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and which states are likeliest to decide control of the chamber.

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